A political campaign commissioned a poll of $1,500$ registered voters selected at random from a large state to gauge support for Candidate X. The poll found that $52$ percent of the surveyed voters intend to vote for Candidate X. Based on these results, which of the following statements must be true?

I. In the upcoming election, Candidate X will receive exactly $52$ percent of the votes from all registered voters in the state.
II. If a second poll of $1,500$ randomly selected registered voters were conducted, it would show that exactly $52$ percent intend to vote for Candidate X.
III. The poll indicates that Candidate X is likely to win the election in this state.